CNet comments on a recent paper titled, Limits to Binary Logic Switch Scaling–A Gedanken Model – by Intel scientists, which suggests that by 2018 it will become extremely difficult for semi-conductor manufacturers to produce chips beyond the 16-nanometer manufacturing process.
Moore’s Law, has largely been driven by the ability to reduce the size of transistors and has been the primary method for making computer chips that are smaller, more powerful and cheaper than their predecessors.
The article suggests that chipmakers will need to start looking for new ways to make chips more powerful and less expensive, otherwise, the pace of progress in the IT industry could begin to slow down.
The paper was published in the Proceedings of the IEEE (Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers) in November.
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